Another dot in the blogosphere?

Projections, anyone?

Posted on: September 3, 2021

The video is the tweet above is a reminder that many of us do not learn from recent history.

The telling of technological futures does not just happen through a crystal ball. It also happens with rose-tinted glasses. This means that projections can be fuelled by pseudoscience and nostalgia.

The best projections are based on extrapolations of valid and reliable data. They are made by people who are humbled by the scientific method and have learnt from their mistakes. Self-styled gurus make bold claims based more on opinion than fact.

I used to be asked to make predictions about edtech. I choose not to do this very much anymore. The only thing I can be certain of is that we are going to be wrong.

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